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Israel-Iran War 
Scenarios 

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Key analysis on the Israel-Iran war scenarios by independent observers. Please note, these are not SAFOR analysis and have been collected from various sources. 

US Asia Pivot
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Tracking the US "Asia Pivot" or the US "Pacific Pivot", the Regional ramifications of this concept. Where is the Indo Pacific is heading and how. 

Air Sea Battle Doctrine 
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Studying the Pentagons "Air Sea Battle" doctrine and the doctrines impact and efficacy on the possible 'Indo- Pacific' theater of war.  

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The "Asian Spring"
Drones and Moans
The New Cold Wars
US Pakistan Undeclared War
Women and Terrorism 
Latest on SASFOR

The Challenge Posed by China’s Military Posture in Tibet
By Brigadier Vijai K Nair [Retd]
18 January 2013

China is in forceful occupation of approximately 38,000 square Kms of Indian territory in Akshai Chin in the West and claims a further 90,000 square Kms of Indian territories in the East, a claim that was reiterated with vehemence by Beijing as recently as June 1998. This territorial dispute resulted in the deployment of military forces, by both India and China, in direct confrontation along 3488 km of what is called the Line of Actual Control [LAC][i] in place of a mutually recognised international border between them. To add fuel to fire the alignment of the LAC is also disputed thereby causing considerable tensions between the two countries.

Despite having signed an Agreement on Maintenance of Peace and Tranquility along the Line of Actual Control [LAC] in 1993 Chinese incursions across the LAC continue to be a regular feature and have continued to date.[ii] If anything the frequency of these intrusions registered an upswing after the demise of Deng Xiaoping in February 1997 with exponential increments thereafter when India conducted nuclear tests in May 1998. “Chinese troops have crossed over into Indian territory over 500 times since January, 2010. But much more than the sheer number of these "transgressions" - the government refuses to call them "intrusions" - it's the increasingly aggressive behaviour of the 2.5-million-strong People's Liberation Army [PLA] along the LAC that remains a major worry.”[iii] The propensity of the Indian Government to sweep this aberration under the carpet cannot reduce the threat manifest in the fact that the PLA has:
Read more........

Book Review: Apocalyptic Realm: Jihadists in South Asia
Reviewed by Reginald Massey
30 July 2012 

The British imposed Durand Line which defined the 1,610 mile long border between Afghanistan and British India cut across Waziristan and thus split the Waziri and Mehsud tribes between Aghanistan and British India. Pakistan inherited the Durand Line which was one of the reasons why Afghanistan and Pakistan were never on very friendly terms. Both successor states of the Raj inherited the sins of their former masters. Likewise, the McMahon and Johnson Lines in India’s case. These frontiers –imposed on China then considered a ‘degraded nation of opium-drugged coolies’ by the west – were rejected by the new resurgent China. 
Read more.......... 

South Asia: Militaries, Threats, Security 
By Brig Vijai K Nair (Retd).
28 July 2012 


A warning to South Asian countries that field impressive military forces. Flouting large well trained standing militaries and the finest array of modern war fighting platforms at designated parades may boost the pride and confidence of the civilian leadership and psychologically bamboozle prospective adversaries. But these are intangible assets on which it would be disastrous to base calculations in formulating national security strategy, if they are not backed by sound and positive decision making capabilities and a national potential to allocate the type of resources required to run this war fighting machine effectively for a minimum period of time to achieve the national objective of waging war. 
Read more........... 

To the Indians who Died in Africa 
By Reginald Massey
24 July 2012   


Eliot‟s To the Indians who Died in Africa is not his best known work and yet it has an interesting history. Its implications and perspectives are vast and two Indian academics, A.N. Dwivedi of Allahabad University and K. Narayana Chandran of Hyderabad University, have expressed quite contrary views of it. The poem had escaped my attention until Sir Christopher Ricks, former Professor of Poetry at Oxford and now at Boston University‟s Editorial Institute, had read my T.S. Eliot and India in the September 2008 issue of this publication. 
Read more..........    

Magoo on "Shame in Chicago"
By Brig Vijai K Nair (Retd).
27 May 2012


The belief that Pakistan’s geostrategic location makes it an indispensable entity in the geopolitical matrix of the major world powers has fostered the core of Islamabad’s national security strategy from the time it was conceived, and continues to date, used indiscriminately to attain the whims of whoever has been on the gaddi. The philosophy is based on an expectation to harness the exceptional clout of a foreign power to help overcome its limitations to cut its bete-noir, India, down to size, by military intervention.
Read more..........

Magoo on "Peeling Or Trading Onions?"
By Brig Vijai K Nair (Retd).
20 May 2012 


Michael Krepon, reputed in the US as an expert on South Asian security affairs, has spearheaded The Henry L Stimson Center’s initiative to foster confidence-building and nuclear risk-reduction measures between India and Pakistan. This piece is a symptom of the author’s frustration at his inability to influence these two countries to resolve their disputes along lines he has been suggesting for over a decade.

His interpretation of security issues on the sub-continent is typically that as viewed through an American prism. 
Read more..........

AAKROSH hosted on SASFOR
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Recommended Reading

Reginald Massey's
To the Gallows with Smiles: forgotten fighters
for Indian Independence
 

will soon be published by Hansib, London 
Click here to preview

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Israel-Iran War Scenarios 
US Asia Pivot 
Air Sea Battle Doctrine